ANALYSIS FROM THE EAST-WEST CENTER

December 1, 2001

The following are new titles from the East-West Center. Ordering information and abstracts of the publications appear after the listing of titles.

"Déjà vu all over again?" Why Dialogue Won’t Solve the Kashmir Dispute, by Arun R. Swamy. AsiaPacific Issues, No. 56. November 2001. 8 pp. Printed hard copy available from the East-West Center for $2.50 plus shipping/handling. Free downloadable pdf file located at http://www.EastWestCenter.org/stored/pdfs/api056.pdf

The intensification of a long-standing dispute between India and Pakistan over the state of Kashmir has become the cause of international concern. The stakes for these nuclear-armed rivals are high. Each views Kashmir as the validation of its national ideology; each fears that giving it up will result in serious domestic turmoil. Moreover, each country has plausible legal arguments for its claims along with a long history of grievances. The deep differences over Kashmir that divide the two countries have so far proven intractable, and following September 11 the movement toward confrontation accelerated. There has never been a more urgent need for international attention to Kashmir. While diplomatic engagement seems necessary for a resolution of this dispute, past results indicate that simply pressuring the two sides to talk may be disastrous. In order to avoid such results, any effort to intervene in this dispute must be undertaken with an awareness of how it evolved, why it has been so difficult to resolve, and what kinds of solutions to it might realistically be pursued.

Taiwan’s Presidential Politics: Democratization and Cross-Strait Relations in the Twenty-first Century, edited by Muthiah Alagappa. Taiwan in the Modern World. Armonk, New York: M. E. Sharpe, 2001. xiv, 312 pp. Cloth, $74.95; paper, $27.95. Available from M. E. Sharpe, http://www.mesharpe.com, tel. (800)541-6563 / fax (914)273-2106.

The March 2000 presidential election was an important milestone in the ongoing development of democracy in Taiwan. After controlling political power for over five decades, the Kuomintang (KMT) was turned out of power and replaced by the opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) through a free and fair election. Chen Shuibian’s victory and the defeat of the KMT have important consequences for future political developments in Taiwan and the Asia Pacific region in general.

This volume looks at the domestic and international implications of this alternation of power in Taiwan. The chapters address trends and changes in Taiwan’s politics and analyze the outcome of the March 2000 election. Other issues discussed include: the challenges and prospects for continued democratic consolidation in Taiwan; the lessons and ramifications for China and Southeast Asia; peace and security in the region; cross-strait economic relations; and U.S. and Japanese policy in Asia.

Search the East-West Center website at http://www.EastWestCenter.org/res-rp-asearch.asp for other publications by the East-West Center and its staff. To order the publications referenced above, contact the East-West Center Publication Sales Office at ewcbooks@EastWestCenter.org.

East-West Center Publication Sales Office 1601 East-West Road Honolulu, HI 96848-1601 USA Tel: (808) 944-7145 Fax: (808) 944-7376

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